Competitive Compass Competitive Compass Signal for Financial Leaders
Issue No. 313
Wednesday, July 15, 2026 · 5 minute read
Private Student Lending

Beyond the Rate.

Beyond the Rate. Guest authors Audrey Bortner and Matthew Chafer.

Every summer, I bet on young talent. This year, the bet paid off early.

Two interns joined Comperemedia in June. I handed them Marisa Frys's two newest playbooks on private student lending and asked them to read the research, form a point of view, and write it for the leaders who read this newsletter. What came back was sharp enough to run almost as written.

When the rate looks the same across every lender, what makes a borrower choose you?

Audrey Bortner studies management at Michigan State, in the Eli Broad College of Business, one of the toughest business programs in the country to enter. She plans events for the Burgess Institute for Entrepreneurship & Innovation, earned a spot on the Dean's List every semester of her college career, and was recently elected President of her Professional Foreign Service sorority. She organizes, she leads, and she ships.

Matthew Chafer studies finance at UNC Charlotte in the Belk College of Business. He has made the Chancellor's List four semesters running with a GPA of 3.95, he hosts events and mentors fellow students as a Peer Guide, and this spring represented the college on stage to incoming families. Where others just see data, Matthew finds the human story behind the numbers.

Audrey took origination, the moment a family first borrows for college. Matthew took refinance, the moment a graduate moves to lower that debt. Federal loans are tightening, two lenders have stepped away, and private rates have moved to nearly the same place. When the rate looks the same everywhere, the borrower chooses on certainty, timing, and a lender who shows up with more than a number. The floor is theirs.


In This Edition
01
Audrey on origination: the opening federal change creates for private lenders
02
Matthew on refinance: turning high intent into borrower action
03
The bottom line, and a short word from me

Origination

The Case for Showing Up Early.
Federal change opens room for private lenders.

I am a college student, so I see this stress up close. My own path stays clear of borrowing for now, and still, my peers navigate rules that grow more restrictive each term. Families want financing that gives them confidence as they plan.

Uncertainty keeps rising. The SAVE plan is giving way to the Repayment Assistance Plan, which raises minimum payments, lengthens timelines, and tightens eligibility. Starting in the 2026 to 2027 award year, federal borrowers also face a $257,500 lifetime cap across undergraduate, graduate, and professional loans. For high-cost programs that leave real funding gaps, 72% of parents and co-signers already say college is becoming too expensive for their children.

The opening for private lenders. As federal loans grow harder to predict, private lenders gain room to stand apart. The Private Student Loan Origination Go-To-Market Playbook maps where that room sits. Discover closed its student lending business in January 2024, and PNC followed in December 2025, which leaves more room to shape how borrowers choose. A new entrant, Abe Loans, moved in as those familiar names stepped back.

Direct mail spend shifts as lenders exit and a challenger enters
Discover PNC Origination PNC Refinance Abe Loans 0 500k 1.0m 1.5m Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Direct mail spend by quarter
Discover spends only in early 2024 and PNC fades through 2025, while Abe Loans scales up and leads by late 2025. The field is resetting, and that reset is the opening.

Families now compare far more than APR. Flexible repayment, simple digital tools, and clear communication carry as much weight as the rate. The lenders who win offer the full package: strong service, flexible plans, and a fair rate.

No single reason dominates, and rate sits among several
Budget-friendly repayment plans 32% Excellent customer service 29% Attractive interest rate 29% Digital services / mobile app 24% Fast-tracked repayment plans 23%
Share of borrowers naming each reason for choosing a private lender. Rate ties for second, so lenders have several ways to win beyond price. The interest rate bar is marked in teal.

How and when to show up. There are two audiences at the table. Students focus on paying for college now, and they respond to guidance on Instagram and TikTok, where budgeting help and scholarship information build early trust. Parents and co-signers want reassurance, and transparent timelines and total-cost estimates via email, LinkedIn, and OTT reduce perceived risk. Timing matters as much as the message. Families plan for months through scholarships, school research, and the FAFSA, so lenders who show up early have an advantage once the decision becomes urgent.

Guest author · Origination
Families compare far more than APR. They choose the lender who makes borrowing feel predictable.
Audrey Bortner, Michigan State University

Entering college already carries enough anxiety. Private lenders have a real chance to help a student understand how to pay for college and how to repay it with confidence, and to widen access along the way.


Refinance

Intent Waits for a Trigger.
High intent, low action, and how to close the gap.

I write this as a college student too. My own loans stay off the books for now, and still, I am surrounded by people who carry them and will face repayment in a few short years. So these numbers read less like a distant market and more like something happening around me.

Ask almost any borrower whether they plan to refinance for a lower rate, and you get a quick yes. Ask when or where, and the answer turns vague. That gap between plan and action is the whole game.

The pressure is already there. The Private Student Loan Refinance Go-To-Market Playbook makes the case. Nearly three in four borrowers say student debt has delayed a major milestone, such as buying a home, starting a family, or saving for retirement. Two-thirds have struggled more since the repayment pause ended, and only one in three makes the full monthly payment. The demand is there. What lenders need is a trigger.

Most borrowers feel the strain, and more than half plan to refinance
Student debt is limiting my financial stability 76% I have struggled more since the pause ended 67% I have missed at least one loan payment 63% I plan to refinance with an online lender 55%
Share of borrowers who agree with each statement. The intent to refinance is already there, marked in teal. The job is a reason to act now.

High-debt professionals want proof that refinancing protects their bigger goals, and the 50-plus borrower, including Parent PLUS holders, sits at higher default risk and still receives far less attention.

The rate looks the same everywhere. Direct mail carries more than 80% of category spend, and APRs are falling, with the upper limit down from 10% to under 7%. Every major lender is pricing down through the July move to RAP. Here is the catch. Once every lender offers a lower rate, the rate no longer becomes a reason to switch. Borrowers move slowly when the options look alike.

What sets the front-runners apart? Four lenders lead, and they play two different games. Citizens and Navy Federal lean on rate and trust. Earnest and SoFi tell a story about life outcomes, and they pair that story with heavy presence. The lenders converting the most borrowers do both.

The front-runners pair heavy presence with a life-outcome story
Strongest position Low marketing intensity High marketing intensity Named life-outcome proof Rate-focused savings claim Citizens Bank Navy Federal Earnest SoFi
Where the leading refinance lenders sit on marketing intensity and message. Earnest and SoFi combine strong presence with a life-outcome story, the pairing that converts.

What actually works. The shift from paying for school to repaying it is the biggest entry point. Senior year, the grace period, and the first payment due arrive fast and land hard. That is the moment for a lender to reach out with genuine help. A lower payment lands hardest inside the bigger picture, a home timeline or simply feeling in control, so the story beats the rate. Workplace channels help too. Offers that arrive through a benefits package, like SoFi at Work, read as a benefit rather than a pitch.

Guest author · Refinance
Presence without a story fades fast, and a story without presence goes unseen. The lenders that convert do both.
Matthew Chafer, UNC Charlotte

The rate cut hands most lenders the same advantage, which drains its power. The leaders frame it as a trigger rather than a headline. Give the borrower a reason and a deadline, and movement follows. The lender that reaches out right after the grace period ends, when most step back, is the one that earns the click.

The Bottom Line

The rate is moving to the same place for everyone, so it stops being the reason a borrower chooses. In origination, families want a guide through a confusing, high-stakes moment. In refinance, they already plan to act and need a reason to act today. Show up early, show up with more than a number, and tell a story the borrower can see in their own life.

That is what turns a rate into a relationship.

I gave Audrey and Matthew the research and the pen, and they gave back a point of view I would put in front of any client. Watch these two. If your team wants to turn these playbooks into a plan for fall enrollment, reach out, and we will find time. Audrey, Matthew, thank you. You made this one easy.

As ever,
Anuj
This edition's guest authors
Audrey Bortner
Guest author · Origination
Management, Eli Broad College of Business, Michigan State University. Event planner for the Burgess Institute for Entrepreneurship, chapter President, and one of twenty-five students chosen from a field of eighty for an industry marketing trip.
Matthew Chafer
Guest author · Refinance
Finance, Belk College of Business, UNC Charlotte. Chancellor's List honoree, Peer Guide for fellow students, and a student voice chosen to represent the college to incoming families.
Anuj Shahani
Anuj Shahani
VP, Comperemedia
ashahani@mintel.com · New York, NY
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